The Essex Region Conservation Authority advises that a Flood Watch is in effect for the Essex Region due to a combination existing ground conditions, current water levels in major watercourses, and predicted total rainfall of roughly 10-25 mm Friday night and Saturday.

The region has already experienced rainfall ranging from 30 to 65 mm Wednesday night and early morning Thursday, based on available data. This has caused saturated ground conditions across the region and a rise in water levels in all major watercourses. Flooding along the Ruscom River in the Municipality of Lakeshore has subsided with water levels in the low-lying areas of Lakeshore Road 241 receding overnight, but water levels remain elevated through this river and all major watercourses. The Canard River has not yet begun to recede in the mid-to-lower reaches, with all floodplains and marshes full of water. Forecasts are predicting varying amounts of rain across the region overnight, from 10 to 25, depending on sources and location. Currently, the highest prediction is for roughly 25 mm for the Township of Pelee. Given the recent precipitation supplemented by another 10-25 mm, watercourses will be flashy and rise quicker than normal. Major watercourses will remain elevated with low-lying areas expected to be flooded throughout the weekend. Tributaries such as municipal drains should be expected to rise quickly as well given the elevated downstream conditions in the rivers. The Municipality of Lakeshore could see flooding around the Lakeshore Road 241 area, near County Road 46 once again.

People are encouraged to take extra caution and avoid areas where flooding is occurring as well as rivers, streams, and shoreline areas during significant rainfall and wind events. The combination of slippery banks and fast-moving water can be dangerous. Standing water can also present its own unseen hazards. Children, pets, and livestock should be kept away from flowing or standing water.

Essex Region Conservation Authorities will continue to monitor forecasts. The advisory will be modified as required