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Tian Martin, P.Eng., Water Resources Engineer. 519-819-3718

Contact Person

Essex Region Conservation Authority

Issued By

Conditions Statements-Flood Outlook

Status

Type

Shoreline

Shoreline – Conditions Statements-Flood Outlook

The Essex Region Conservation Authority advises that, due to the forecasted wind conditions beginning overnight and continuing through Friday and Saturday, a Shoreline Conditions Statement is in effect for the following area:

– Lake Erie shoreline including Pelee Island

Winds are currently mild blowing out of the northeast over Lake Erie. Forecasts predict that winds will begin to increase in speeds overnight into Friday morning. Winds are forecasted to reach sustained speeds between 35-45 km/hr, with gusts reaching up to 60km/hr. Late Friday evening, winds will begin to shift directions to out of the east northeast and east while maintaining similar speeds. These winds will continue through until Saturday afternoon before dissipating.

The areas of the region most affected by these winds are anticipated to be the shoreline area between Wheatley Harbour and Point Pelee National Park in the Municipality of Leamington and the east shoreline of Pelee Island in Lake Erie.

Lake levels are lower compared to previous years, but there is a concern for some damage with direct wave impact on shoreline structures and debris being thrown. There remains some risk of flooding and accelerated nearshore erosion along the impacted shoreline as a result of increased wave activity. This shoreline conditions statement will remain in effect until 6:00pm Saturday, May 23, 2026.

People are encouraged to take extra caution to avoid areas where flooding is occurring as well as rivers, streams, and shoreline areas during significant rainfall and wind events. The combination of slippery banks, waves, waves overtopping shoreline structures, and fast-moving water can be dangerous. Standing water can also present its own unseen hazards. Children, pets, and livestock should be kept away from flowing or standing water as well as shoreline areas where the above hazards exist.

ERCA officials will continue to monitor conditions as they change, and issue upgraded advisories as required.

2026-05-21 6:34 PM

Issuing Date & Time

2026-05-23 6:00 PM

Expiry Date & Time

Municipalities and Other Agencies:

Upon receipt, hand directly to the Flood Coordinator or Emergency Planner for your Municipality or Agency.

Media:

Upon receipt, hand directly to your newsroom.

Types of Flood Bulletins:

Watershed Conditions - Safety Bulletins

High flows, unsafe banks, melting ice or other factors that could be dangerous for recreational users such as anglers, canoeists, hikers, children, pets, etc. Flooding is not expected.

Watershed Conditions – Flood Outlook

Early notice of the potential for flooding based on weather forecasts calling for heavy rain, snow melt, high wind or other conditions that could lead to high runoff, cause ice jams, lakeshore flooding or erosion.

Flood Watch Bulletins

Flooding is possible in specific watercourses or municipalities. Municipalities, emergency services and individual landowners in flood-prone areas should prepare.

Flood Warning Bulletins

Flooding is imminent or already occurring in specific watercourses or municipalities.

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