The Essex Region Conservation Authority advises that, due to the forecasted wind conditions tomorrow morning and lasting throughout the day, a Shoreline Conditions Statement is in effect for the following area:

– Lake Erie shoreline including Pelee Island

Winds are currently mild blowing out of the west over Lake Erie. Forecasts predict that winds will begin to shift to out of the south overnight and increase in speeds into the morning. Winds are forecasted to reach sustained speeds between 45-55 km/hr, with gusts reaching up to 70km/hr. In the afternoon, these winds will begin to shift directions from out of the south to out of the west while maintaining similar speeds before decreasing over night and dissipating by Saturday morning.

Lake levels are lower compared to previous years, but there is a concern for some damage with direct wave impact on shoreline structures and debris being thrown. There remains some risk of flooding and accelerated nearshore erosion along the Lake Erie shoreline including south Pelee Island as a result of increased wave activity. The forecasted conditions are expected to dissipate by 12:00 pm Saturday, March 14, 2026.

People are encouraged to take extra caution to avoid areas where flooding is occurring as well as rivers, streams, and shoreline areas during significant rainfall and wind events. The combination of slippery banks, waves, waves overtopping shoreline structures, and fast-moving water can be dangerous. Standing water can also present its own unseen hazards. Children, pets, and livestock should be kept away from flowing or standing water as well as shoreline areas where the above hazards exist.

ERCA officials will continue to monitor conditions as they change, and issue upgraded advisories as required.