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James Bryant, P.Eng., Director of Watershed Management Services. 519-819-7912

Contact Person

Essex Region Conservation Authority

Issued By

Conditions Statement




Watershed Conditions Statement - Flood Outlook

The Essex Region has experienced approximately 25 mm (1 inch) of rainfall over the past 24 hours, with the forecasts predicting an additional 25 to 30 mm overnight into Friday afternoon. The ground is currently saturated and the additional rainfall expected within the next 24 hours is expected to generated a greater amount of runoff than what would otherwise normally be expected for that amount of rain. Smaller and localized watercourses are expected to rise, nearing capacity, with larger tributaries expected to rise into low lying adjacent lands. Flooding from major watercourses is not expected as the rainfall, totaling roughly 50 mm (2 inches), is expected to be spread over 2 to 3 days. It should be noted that any low lying area may experience ponding due to the continued slow rainfall and saturated ground conditions. These conditions are expected for the next several days.

Officials will continue to monitor forecasts and field conditions.

People are encouraged to take extra caution and avoid areas where flooding is occurring as well as rivers, streams, and shoreline areas during significant rainfall and wind events. The combination of slippery banks and fast moving water can be dangerous. Standing water can also present its own unseen hazards. Children, pets, and livestock should be kept away from flowing or standing water. People are encouraged to monitor local forecasts. ERCA officials will also continue to monitor forecasts and conditions, and update this advisory as required.

This advisory is in effect until: 12:00 PM, April 13, 2024.

2024-04-11 3:15 PM

Issuing Date & Time

2024-04-13 12:00 PM

Expiry Date & Time

Municipalities and Other Agencies:

Upon receipt, hand directly to the Flood Coordinator or Emergency Planner for your Municipality or Agency.


Upon receipt, hand directly to your newsroom.

Types of Flood Bulletins

Watershed Conditions - Safety Bulletins

High flows, unsafe banks, melting ice or other factors that could be dangerous for recreational users such as anglers, canoeists, hikers, children, pets, etc. Flooding is not expected.

Watershed Conditions – Flood Outlook

Early notice of the potential for flooding based on weather forecasts calling for heavy rain, snow melt, high wind or other conditions that could lead to high runoff, cause ice jams, lakeshore flooding or erosion.

Flood Watch Bulletins

Flooding is possible in specific watercourses or municipalities. Municipalities, emergency services and individual landowners in flood-prone areas should prepare.

Flood Warning Bulletins

Flooding is imminent or already occurring in specific watercourses or municipalities.

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